Tenants from law firms to finance companies snap up space in main business zones in the nation
April 12, 2024 | Staff Reporter | Singapore | Brokerage
Rents in Singapore’s office market rose in the first three months of the year, shaking off two consecutive quarters of declines as some tenants snapped up limited premium spaces and others renewed their leases instead of relocating owing to cost considerations, according to Colliers.
In the January-to-March period, premium and central office rents in Southeast Asia’s main financial hub rose 0.7% on a quarterly basis to S$11.57 (US$8.58) per square foot, the property consultancy said in a report. From a year ago, they were higher by 1%. Vacancy rates remained steady at 2.6%, it added.
“Singapore office rents have displayed their mettle with a rebound this quarter,” said Bastiaan van Beijsterveldt, Managing Director, Singapore, at Colliers. “Given that office footprints have remained largely unchanged or that occupiers have (down-sized), relocation and expansion moves could gradually pick up, especially towards the end of the year, when the economy is poised to rebound and cost concerns recede.”
The increase in rents was largely driven by leases in main business zones such as Raffles Place and the New Downtown area. Demand was diverse, with consumer goods companies, law firms and nonbank financial firms all looking for space. Technology companies, meanwhile, which were previously down-sizing are now maintaining the status quo as they look to artificial intelligence as a potential new avenue of growth, Colliers said.
Still, rents in the core and premium segment are likely to be “range bound and recover more meaningfully in the latter part of the year” along with an anticipated improvement in the economy, Colliers said. Singapore’s economy is forecast to grow by 2.4% this year, rising significantly from the 1.1% expansion seen in 2023, according to the monetary authorities.
“Given that office footprints have remained largely unchanged or that occupiers have (down-sized), relocation and expansion moves could gradually pick up, especially towards the end of the year, when the economy is poised to rebound and cost concerns recede.”
Bastiaan van Beijsterveldt, Managing Director, Singapore, Colliers
According to Savills, premium office rents in the first quarter were unchanged at S$9.65 per sq ft compared to the preceding three months. On an annual basis, they rose by 0.94%. In the high-end category, the vacancy rate improved to 6.1% from 6.5% on a quarterly basis, but was only marginally better than the 6.2% recorded 12 months ago.
“We are expecting grade A (central business district) office rents to come off 2% to 3% year-on-year by end-2024,” said Alan Cheong, executive director, research and consultancy, Savills in Singapore. “The declines will be concentrated in the lower tier of grade A buildings whilst the top end of the spectrum or what we label as grade AAA buildings will hold firm.” Looking further ahead, Cheong predicts that the performance of the office property market will be driven by the “next industrial revolution, one that is expected to embed artificial generative intelligence (AGI) into work processes.”
“If AGI leads to significantly lower overall net manpower requirements, plus the ability to offshore more functions, then the impact on office demand will be negative,” he said. “At this juncture, the next generation of hardware for AGI has only just been rolled out, and it will take some quarters for the big software companies to build on these new chipsets before showcasing their services to end users such as banks, manufacturing companies, call service centres, media and shipping, among others.”
In the meantime, landlords “remain smug on rents” as many large companies had signed long leases that are not due for renewal until late this year at the earliest, Cheong said. The limited supply of prime office spaces as well as a lack of budgets for fit-outs – getting the interior ready for occupation – are also holding tenants captive in their current premises.